@darius excellent, my plan as of eight minutes ago was "inkscape(?)"

I have a post-it note doodle I plan to photograph and trace over

@darius I have an open ended commitment to make some tshirts for my trivia team! Can boxy help me draw the art for the shirts?

@darius i dont read many papers any more, but by happy coincidence, the last one i read *was* about bot detection: OpenAI's "did this text from from ChatGPT" classifier. And they genuinely and helpfully *did* break their results into both false-positive and false-negative rates, rather than hiding behind the more typical reporting of "it is a classifer" or "it has 99% accuracy [on a dataset with 98:2 class imbalance]".

@darius it's a cliche/joke in macroeconomics to say someone's predicted twelve of the last three recessions. The Rainmakers branch of the Frauds Family Tree.

@darius I do find it frustrating to come across uncalibrated estimation routines; to see someone "correctly predict twenty of the last eight bot nets"

@darius yep, i have no plans to return.

@darius If I translate that from DK-->BG numbers as "four years, to get 1K followers," that sounds like both the rosiest outcome and also a lonely four years. Maybe 20MM people really do decide to start genuinely using Mastodon this year, and so it winds up easier than that?

(My last Twitter bot, the "let's play minesweeper" number, flopped in a discouraging lonely-feeling way.)